The key to winning options strategies is how well you handle the losing months

Seth FreudbergGeneral Comments, Options Education, Seth Freudberg's Blogs, Trading Psychology, Trading Theory3 Comments

All great options strategies will have losing months.  There is no getting around this simple fact, and it is critical to your mindset as a successful options trader that you accept these months as part of the game.  While non-directional options spread strategies are also known as “income options trades” (giving some traders the mistaken idea  that the strategies will produce  income for the trader each and every  month), it is important for the developing  trader to understand that it is rare to go through an entire year utilizing a particular strategy, without at least one losing month.

In fact, there are certain points in  particularly tough trading months where the skilled options   trader   actually intentionally  places    a trade into a position   in which it has  no chance of ever producing a profit.  This is normally done in order to put the trade into the best possible position to minimize the size of a loss in a situation in which  there is almost a  statistical certainty that  a trade will produce some loss anyway.  In other words,  there are cases where it is smarter to lock in a small loss than roll the dice on the remote  possibility  of a small gain at best,  contrasted against the distinct possibility of a large loss.

Once a  trade is recognized as a  probable loser,   the skilled options  trader can often greatly minimize the size of the loss by restructuring the trade so that the time decay of  the short options in the restructured trade allows the loss to be worked down to a very small percentage of committed capital with a minimal risk that a large loss will occur.

The mistake that many developing traders make is that they  throw in the towel on a trade which has been adjusted so often that the remainder of the trading cycle  does not present any realistic  opportunity to turn the trade into a winner. Unfortunately, that is usually the worst time to end the trade, but traders often fail to recognize that. They think, “Now it’s hopeless, I have no shot at making money on this trade, I better just shut this down”.  Instead, the correct thought process is: “This trade now has no prospect of turning a profit–is there  a way to position my trade so that there is an excellent chance that I can greatly minimize the loss?” Usually there is a way to do just  that once you have become a little more experienced.

So  for example, a trader  may  find himself in a situation in which  he  is   down  8% on a trade   which has been adjusted so much that there is only   a very small remaining  prospect of making  even a  2% profit, but a  statistically significant  possibility of a maximum loss  (let’s say 15% in this case).  Many developing traders will  fail to see that there are many viable ways to reduce the loss down to 2-3% on the trade over time, and simultaneously cut the risk of a maximum loss significantly, if the trader is willing to restructure the trade so that the best case scenario is,say,  a 1% loss.

Most developing traders have a psychological block against thinking along those lines. “Why should I guarantee myself a loss?” the trader  asks.    Instead the trader will either bail out of the trade completely at the 8% loss level  or, worse, stay in the trade to try to get “lucky”  by making  the improbable 2% gain,  while risking the much more probable  15% loss. It’s far smarter to restructure the trade into a guaranteed small loss as a best case scenario in exchange for making the maximum  loss extremely unlikely, and a very small  loss very likely.

It’s actually really important to recognize when you are in one of those unglamorous situations where your best case scenario is a minimal loss.  If  you are involved in  one of those trades and  you try to be a hero by hoping to squeeze a tiny improbable gain out of  trade much more likely to end up as a maximum loss, then your chances of  making  an excellent  annual  return using  that  strategy becomes bleak. If, on the other hand, you handle those months right and keep the losses down to a minimum,  you put yourself in an excellent position to make a terrific annual profit.

Seth Freudberg

Director, SMB Options Training Program

3 Comments on “The key to winning options strategies is how well you handle the losing months”

  1. Great blog Seth. I am really learning alot following this trade this month.

    Derek

  2. How true Seth. It’s one of the most important concepts that a successful options trader has to grasp (imho). I still hate to lose but I’m learning to take the approach of minimizing losses when a “victory” is increasingly improbable and live to fight another day.

  3. Who likes to lose? But if you’re going to lose, you might as well make it a small one!

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