Anticipating The Change

sspencerGeneral Comments, Steven Spencer (Steve's) Blogs, Trading Theory3 Comments

In September and October of 2008 the young traders on our desk put up ridiculous numbers.  Their aggressive instincts were rewarded by the unusual level of volatility.  But then their aggressive instincts were severely punished in the months that followed.  They were slow to adapt to changing market conditions.  By December of 2008 it no longer made sense to make … Read More

The Pattern

sspencerSteven Spencer (Steve's) Blogs, Trading Theory3 Comments

As traders we are always looking for patterns.  If we can spot a trading pattern that repeats itself (at least for awhile) we have an edge.  When people hear the word “pattern” they usually think of a visual pattern.  For traders this would typically be represented as a particular chart pattern.  For those of us who read the tape it … Read More

Flexing My Brain

sspencerSteven Spencer (Steve's) Blogs, Trading Theory2 Comments

During our AM Meeting the other day I suggested that FAST might be setting up for a nice down move.  The stock was gapping down in the premarket on earnings–albeit on light volume.  It had runup on Friday so I thought a bunch of traders were caught leaning the wrong way and would panic out below 30.  Right on the … Read More

So What Now?

sspencerSteven Spencer (Steve's) Blogs, Trading TheoryLeave a Comment

The SPYs finally closed below 88.50.  This is the lowest close since the gap day on May 4th.  Many people are talking about how the daily chart for the SPYs look like a head and shoulders with a neckline at 88.  There will be many obsessively on tv talking about how “technically” we look like we are going to trade … Read More