There are three ways short term traders lose money: incorrect analysis, expectancy (a certain % of trades just don’t work), or making trades based on emotion (this one is a biggy for most). Take a look at the price action from GMCR and QCOM after they reported earnings. Since the initial down moves on the Open one has been a … Read More
The AMZN Trade
Here is the followup from my earlier post titled “The Value Added Tweet“. I will break down my thoughts in bullet points to move this along so I can try to get some sleep. AMZN has a history of being bought on large gap downs after earnings. Even if it doesn’t fill gaps it still is capable of having large … Read More
Trading Lesson #1: Buying A Strong Stock At Prior Day’s Afternoon Support
New blog format: Short trading lessons with charts for illustration. Trading Lesson #1: Second Day Play–Buying A Strong Stock After It Pulls Back To Prior Afternoon’s Support Area INHX was on our radar yesterday after another fresh news drug catalyst. As you can see from the two charts below INHX is trending higher on multiple time frames. Here is the … Read More
So You Want To Fade This Market?
Over the years I have seen a very strong tendency with traders wanting to be short the market at the first signs of any strength after they have just observed major weakness. It feels like yesterday a former trader I worked with was shorting SPY at 76 one or two days after we had put in the March 09 bottom. … Read More
The Pre-market Tell
I am really starting to sound a lot like Bella these days. When he lectures our trainees he tends to repeat himself over and over and over again. My style tends to be more like “this is the concept–good luck” (maybe not that bad:) I didn’t fill out a lot of “blue books” in college and law school. I like … Read More
Avoid The Slop And Make A Chop!
Please use the below chart to assist you in trading the market today. The no trade zone doesn’t mean you can’t have a position. It just means that initiating positions in market stocks in the middle of the zone are low probability trades where you will most likely get chopped to death! Look to trade breaks outside of the zone … Read More
New SPY Inflection Point
I must be crazy writing a blog post as I begin my vacation in Nantucket Ma. But I have something I want to highlight that relates to a webinar I gave earlier this month. The topic of the webinar was multi-day inflection points. Identifying these levels and using them as the focal point for various trading plays. On Thursday August … Read More
I Can’t Sleep So Blog Readers Benefit
I can count on one hand the number of times I have written a blog post that discusses a future move in a stock. The main reason is I reserve my bigger picture trading ideas for the traders on our desk. Also, even if I am confident a stock is setting up for a big swing move, its intraday behavior … Read More