normally i don’t blog during trading day but unusual circumstances…we failed right at the level i tweeted pre-market around 193. great spot to short and many traders did. sellers now in control and that only changes if we break the downtrend moving back above 190. a hold above 190.50 would give us a chance to close in the 191.50-193 level … Read More
Friday Game Plan Review–SPY, CRM, FB, AAPL
Friday was an interesting day for me. We had a large down move Thursday followed by a large drop in overnight futures. When we see this sort of price action we immediately shift our AM Gameplan to a discussion of market related ETFs as with more volatility they offer the least risk with good upside. We also want to look … Read More
The Anatomy of A Selloff—Netflix
Netflix has been the #1 momo stock for the past few years. Recently, its ascent began to accelerate at an unsustainable pace. When a stock begins to behave like this it is time to look for low risk high reward entries on the short side. Here are a few things you can look for as clues when to open the … Read More
The Analyst Downgrade Bottom–Micron
When a stock has been in a longer term down trend there are many ways that it can put in a tradeable bottom (assuming it isn’t a commodity stock in which case it may just file for bankruptcy at some point). The fundamental cause of its down trend goes away. This is what happened in Apple in 2013 after its 40% … Read More
“This Stock Is Going To Zero”
Yesterday we started looking at SUNE as a good bounce candidate. Since issuing a profit warning the stock had sold off over 50% in a matter of days. We had been receiving pretty good news flow that large buyers began accumulating the stock around $16 and as it approached its 52 week low our expectation was that it would bounce … Read More
Twittergeddon!
The after hours price action in TWTR was epic. The market had been anticipating a large move following its earnings release based on how pricey its options contracts were prior to the announcement. And TWTR certainly didn’t disappoint. After closing the regular session at 36.50 it traded above 40 when its earnings were released. It beat on both top and bottom line … Read More
Today’s Top 2 Trade Setups–AMZN & TEVA
This morning we were setting up for a very busy day. In addition to the market continuing its slide from last week — there were a multitude of In Play names and Second Day Plays from Friday. Our #1 ‘In Play’ idea was related to TEVA which had agreed to purchase, in a mostly cash deal, the generics business of … Read More
Study Price Action & Stop Being A Silly Troll
Back in April I tweeted a picture of a SPY chart that I thought was rather instructive. Here is the chart: A few things we can take away. The first is that the SPY 204.30 had been tested in February and then again in March. The bounce in March was very fast moving from the low to SPY 211 in … Read More