Netflix is the new Amazon. What does this mean? It means for the foreseeable future hedge funds will step in and buy this name on every large dip and it will continue to have huge breakouts after periods of consolidation. Why is this the case? In the case of AMZN it got enough large players in the market to buy … Read More
Webinar: Create a System to Trade Breakouts with Steve Spencer
Join SMB partner Steven Spencer on Thursday, July 18 at 4:30pm ET for a discussion on short-term breakout trading. He will cover recent trades in NFLX and DDD and help you to gain a better understanding of which setups are more likely to work. If you would like to know more about the breakout setups Steve will be covering in … Read More
Mastering Breakouts: Do You Have a System to Identify and Trade Breakouts?
I read a statistic several years ago that the majority of what traders call “breakouts” fail. For this very reason there are algorithmic trading programs that fade breakouts. And there are some manual traders who love to fade all breakouts as well. There are many others who like to load up in the direction of the breakout 100% of the … Read More
The Falling Knife Trade– $AAPL
I bought AAPL on the Open today. One of my favorite trades in the first few minutes of the Open is entering a position on a quick dropout to the prior afternoon support. I make this trade in a stock that is trending higher on a multi-day time frame in the hope of getting an excellent risk/reward entry. AAPL close … Read More
Muscle Memory and Patience II–Trading $AAPL
In my previous post on stock “muscle memory” I discussed the three types of MM. I want to revisit the topic and see how we used the same concept while tracking AAPL’s price action for the past few weeks. On June 12th AAPL traded below 435 after not breaching that level for several weeks. After a few days of consolidation … Read More
Muscle Memory and Patience–Trading $ACAD
I like to say that stocks have “muscle memory”. There are several possible meanings for this expression: 1) A stock will repeat a strong move from a particular inflection point–this applies to both intra-day and daily levels; 2) A stock will move with a particular “cadence” intra-day that can be gamed to the trader’s advantage (or ignored to their detriment); … Read More
Monkey Trading Series: Some IPO Basics
“Monkey Trading” is a broad term I have used lately to describe some of the short term trading I observe that shows a lack of respect for the market. Whether it is a failure to have a detailed trading plan or understanding the nuances of how stocks trades in the HFT dominated marketplace Monkey Trading usually leads to a transfer … Read More
Divining Inflection Points– $SPY
From January to May 22nd I probably traded the SPY less then ten times in total. Today marked the fourth consecutive day I traded the market via the SPY. I trade whatever is In Play. And right now the market is In Play. The most useful price level in the past three trading days has been 157.50. Useful in that it … Read More