Stock Selection: Over the last few weeks I’ve been sticking mostly to trading AAPL, SPY, and almost any financial that i felt comfortable trading. Stocks that I have also been looking are S&P 500 stocks trading near 52 week lows. I’ve been focusing on trading them on the short side, since I want to short the weakest stocks in a … Read More
AAPL Earnings—Oy Vey!
As you gain more experience traders develop biases about stocks and where they should be priced. Often this is helpful. At times it can lead to potential rips. As an experienced trader I have learned that my biases must be verified by the Box, the price action in the stock. Who am I to decide where a stock ought to … Read More
What to Trade These Days
As Bella pointed out, last Friday was difficult. There were so many reversals that it was frustrating to trade any stock. Market stocks overreacted to moves in their corresponding futures and levels were not respected. I lost on so many fade trades in which I would buy a stock that quickly retraced to a support level and continued going lower … Read More
Reversals, Reversals, Reversals
Friday was a very difficult trading day because the market reversed so many times. Into the Close the market reversed four times. I usually get caught in one reversal a week. I got caught in eight yesterday. I would make a bunch of profitable trades and then a stock would reverse. I got caught in the SPY upmove midday from … Read More
Fear Establishes Bottoms
One thing that I realized a long time ago was that emotions/psychology are what determine prices of stocks in the short term. The average stock on the NYSE fluctuates 50% in any given year. Does anyone really believe that the fundamentals of each company gyrate to the extent necessary to justify that level of volatility? (maybe in this environment but … Read More
SMB in Trader Monthly
SMB is featured in Trader Monthly this issue. We hope you enjoy the article. There is a really nice full page picture of Steve and me in the hard copy of the magazine (but not online) for those who are interested. If you are trader the magazine is free. Check it out if you get a chance. http://www.traderdaily.com/magazine/article/24582.html
Next Support on the Dow @ 0
I wrote a couple of weeks back about the market putting in a bottom. Oh boy I was only off by about 4000 points in the Dow :). Yes I was very wrong but the beauty of it is that as a trader I have learned that the market has to confirm my bias. The price action wasn’t there so … Read More
Holy guacamole..what a negative reaction
I must say I am extremely disappointing in the Fed for their silly attempt to prop up the stock market with a fed cut of 50bps this morning. I mean seriously, the entire street was expecting that. If they really wanted to create a very positive reaction they should have tried to catch the market by surprise. Here’s how you … Read More