As I sit here the night before Thanksgiving, I am reflecting on my trading over the past couple of weeks. I have realized that one major flaw has seeped into my trading. This money eating flaw is over-trading. I have been trading for close to 15 years and it amazes me that this bad habit continues to rear its ugly … Read More
RIMM
RIMM is about 70% from its high. It seems real cheap based on next year earnings projection of $4.50 per share. But the price action indicates that noone believes those estimates. There are probably a lot of people betting that RIMM will have trouble matching this years $3.50 per share. So perhaps RIMM will have one more down leg. RIMM … Read More
Risk: SO Not Just A Game
During a good film session today with a senior trader I got to get a clear look at how quickly I lose control of my risk and put my trading day in complete jeopardy. The film was from Thursday of last week when I was daytrading SRS (the real-estate ultrashort ETF) actively. To give you an idea of how the … Read More
The Best Stocks Need to get Killed First…
Market leaders are the last stocks to bottom. They have the strongest fundamentals and don’t breakdown until the pressure to get out of the market becomes so great that even they will be sold. One such market leader is AAPL. We talked about AAPL in today’s AM Meeting. I remarked that we should pay close attention to AAPL’s price action … Read More
Do This Every Day to Become a Consistent Trader!
I get this question almost daily: Jeff, what are you going to trade today? Or this one, especially in this market: Jeff, do you think we are close to the bottom? These are both good questions and there is nothing wrong in asking these questions, but what I learned pretty early in my trading career, and it has come in … Read More
A Fade Trade
During our video review session intraday today we watched some tape of TGT. One of our experienced traders, NYU, faded TGT into its second upmove on the Open at 33.75. There was a struggle at 33 and the buyers won sending TGT quickly to 33.80. NYU thought the move was overdone and got short. This was a poor fade trade. … Read More
The Box vs. The Big Picture
I was at the office Sunday doing some admin stuff and working on some trading prep for this week. One of our senior traders was at the office reviewing some trading videos as well. He had a question for me about how he could trade the large reversals we have been seeing in the market more effectively. He is a … Read More
Find the Easy Plays
Trading is a tough profession. Every day you need to figure out a way to make money. During the first couple of years of your trading career it is important to be in the easiest plays. One such play involves getting long above a recent support level in a stock. The more recently the level was important as support the … Read More