This morning we noticed that shortly after the open CF hit my new low of the day ticker. Hmmm…a market leader getting sold right away into a gap up in the SPY and continued strength in the SPY. I took “Notice”. A little later we see it again, this time joined by MOS, AGU and some others from the sector. … Read More
Trader’s Ask: How should I decide when to increase my tier size?
Hi Bella, If you don’t mind, I have a question for you. How long should a trader trade at a given tier size before they move it up? I don’t want to jump in larger too fast, but I don’t really know what an optimal time frame is for advancing, and I’m sure it varies from trader to trader. Is profiting … Read More
Back to the future
The future’s on it’s way, the past is gone Old and rusted, with your busted bones Break the crystal ball, you’re on your own Wipe away the fear of the unknown Now, here we go, on with the show Makin’ our way, just living for today It’s in my sight, and the time is right For takin’ a bow, into … Read More
And the Probability Is……Part 2
You see the chart pattern or play but the action before does count. Take a stock that trades down off the open then consolidates forming a nice support line. This line breaks so the chart says sell it short. Seems like a high probability trade right? But what if its 12:30 pm? Do you think the fact that its lunch … Read More
How to find the best stocks into the close
Good afternoon Mr. Bellafiore, I hope this message finds you well. I received your email by attending the event you spoke at in DC (which was really Rockville, MD). I read your blog everyday & find it extremely helpfull for my trading. I also completed the SMB Foundation ealiear this year. That’s an incredible program! The reason I’m reaching out … Read More
Getting in your own way (HPQ and GS)
I received a very good analysis of a trader’s HPQ trading after the close. Let’s take a look and then discuss. HPQ – Considering I was in the opening drive, I definitely should have made money in HPQ today. After fees/etc. I’m sure I was down in it. I bought some (but not enough) above the 24.30-35 area. I got … Read More
And the Probability Is….?
Intraday trading is not about predictions or fulfilling your need to be right. It’s simply about finding spots to trade that offer high probability risk to reward. Most aspiring traders take this thought and run to the charts. They will search and study until they find a pattern or play that seems to repeat with a predictable outcome. They will … Read More
Find an ATM and Use It!!
Do you have a stock that due to both technical and fundamental reasons has traded in pretty much one direction for weeks or months? I do…for the last few months it’s RIMM. I have RIMM on my screen everyday and I know exactly how it feels, moves and reacts. I play it virtually every day and use it like my … Read More